Ray Kurzweil the
Cybernetic Inventor, Entrepreneur and Futurist
Phiosopher talks about his book "The Age of
Spiritual Machines" almost on the day it was
released in January of 1999. He recounts his
earler publication "The Age of Intelligent
Machines" and offers many illuminating
projections of likly futre Cyberentic
developments.
The Singularity Is Near:
The Movie does
exactly what Ray
Kurzweil set out to do.
It's a movie version of
the book, with two
running through lines.
In documentary style, we
have Ray discussing his
ideas about the
Singularity, with
commentators variously
supporting or refuting
or worrying about his
ideas. With Bill
McKibben in the role of
the friendly flat out
opponent; Bill Joy
playing the reasonable
but worried man; and
Mitch Kapor doubting the
technological
possibilities -- they
are all worked into the
weave to (at least) let
us know that not
everybody believes that
a) The Singularity is
Coming and b) It's going
to work out well. K.
Eric Drexler, MIT
roboticist Cynthia
Breazeal, desktop
manufacturing guru Neil
Gershenfeld and many
many more are woven in
to support the idea --
and the more hopeful
potentials -- of
accelerating change
leading to radical
alterations in life
(itself).
The value added here
for those h+ types
already familiar with
this discourse includes
the clarity and concise
expression of the ideas
presented in Ray's
doorstopper sized book,
and lots of very groovy,
trippy, and playful
graphics (including an
apparent parody of the
opening of
Fringe.)
And then there's the
integration of a
fictional narrative into
the whole thing.
The story revolves
around Ramona,
Kurzweil's alter ego and
virtual/AI persona. This
is the same Ramona who
is interviewed
throughout
The Singularity Is Near
book, where her role is
to tell us what life is
like at various points
in time in the future.
To some extent, she
plays that same role
here, but she also
supplies some drama. And
while the acting here
will not win any academy
awards, Ramona is put
into several perilous
situations and -- one of
them, at least -- is
rather affecting. (I'm
not going to give
anything away, except to
say that there's a
courtroom scene, and
you'll find yourself
rooting for her.) There
are some funny elements
too, including a very
direct nod at
The Matrix.
Ultimately, like the
book,
The Singularity Is Near:
The Movie is an
advocacy/teaching film.
I wouldn't count on
cinema critics to find
in it a glorious work of
art. But it's a total
blast to sit through
(even
with Tony Robbins
and Alan Dershowitz) and
it's definitely going to
get around and blow
minds, spark debate,
thought and study.
Singularitarians will
want to show this to
friends and family, and
even for those who don't
believe in the
singularity but support
transhumanist ideas,
there's a whole lot
about nanotech, biotech
and AI to tweak interest
and excitement.
Ray Kurzweil grew up in the New
York City borough of
Queens. He was born to
secular Jewish parents who had
escaped
Austria just before the onset of
World War II, and he was exposed via
Unitarian Universalism to a
diversity of religious faiths during his
upbringing. His father was a musician
and composer and his mother was a
visual artist. His uncle, an
engineer at
Bell Labs, taught young Ray the
basics of
computer science.[1]
In his youth, he was an avid reader of
science fiction literature. In 1963, at
age fifteen, he wrote his first computer
program. Designed to process
statistical data, the program was
used by researchers at IBM.[2]
Later in high school he created a
sophisticated pattern-recognition
software program that analyzed the works
of classical composers, and then
synthesized its own songs in similar
styles. The capabilities of this
invention were so impressive that, in
1965, he was invited to appear on the
CBS television program
I've Got a Secret, where he
performed a piano piece that was
composed by a computer he also had
built.[3]
Later that year, he won first prize in
the International Science Fair for the
invention,[4]
and he was also recognized by the
Westinghouse Talent Search and was
personally congratulated by President
Lyndon B. Johnson during a
White House ceremony.
In 1968, during his sophomore year
at
MIT, Kurzweil started a company that
used a computer program to match high
school students with colleges. The
program, called the Select College
Consulting Program, was designed by him
and compared thousands of different
criteria about each college with
questionnaire answers submitted by each
student applicant. When he was 20, he
sold the company to Harcourt, Brace &
World for $100,000 (roughly $500,000 in
2006 dollars) plus royalties.[5]
He earned a
BS in Computer Science and
Literature in 1970 from
MIT.
In 1974, Kurzweil started the
company Kurzweil Computer Products, Inc.
and led development of the first
omni-font
optical character recognition
system—a computer program capable of
recognizing text written in any normal
font. Before that time, scanners had
only been able to read text written in a
few fonts. He decided that the best
application of this technology would be
to create a reading machine, which would
allow blind people to understand written
text by having a computer read it to
them aloud. However, this device
required the invention of two enabling
technologies—the
CCD
flatbed scanner and the
text-to-speech synthesizer. Under
his direction, development of these
technologies was completed,[citation
needed] and on January 13,
1976, the finished product was unveiled
during a news conference headed by him
and the leaders of the
National Federation of the Blind.
Called the Kurzweil Reading Machine, the
device covered an entire tabletop. It
gained him mainstream recognition: on
the day of the machine's unveiling,
Walter Cronkite used the machine to
give his signature soundoff, "And that's
the way it is, January 13, 1976." While
listening to
The Today Show, musician
Stevie Wonder heard a demonstration
of the device and purchased the first
production version of the Kurzweil
Reading Machine, beginning a lifelong
friendship between himself and Kurzweil.
According to former Kurzweil
Computer Products employees, the
Kurzweil Reading Machine's designer was
engineer Richard Brown, a KCP employee
at the time[citation
needed].
Kurzweil's next major business
venture began in 1978, when Kurzweil
Computer Products began selling a
commercial version of the optical
character recognition computer program.
LexisNexis was one of the first
customers, and bought the program to
upload paper legal and news documents
onto its nascent online databases.
Two years later, Kurzweil sold his
company to
Xerox, which had an interest in
further commercializing
paper-to-computer text conversion.
Kurzweil Computer Products became a
subsidiary of Xerox formerly known as
Scansoft and now as
Nuance Communications, and he
functioned as a consultant for the
former until 1995.
Kurzweil's next business venture
was in the realm of electronic music
technology. After a 1982 meeting with
Stevie Wonder, in which the latter
lamented the divide in capabilities and
qualities between electronic
synthesizers and traditional musical
instruments, Kurzweil was inspired to
create a new generation of music
synthesizers capable of accurately
duplicating the sounds of real
instruments.
Kurzweil Music Systems was founded
in the same year, and in 1984, the
Kurzweil K250 was unveiled. The
machine was capable of imitating a
number of instruments, and in tests
musicians were unable to discern the
difference between the
Kurzweil K250 on piano mode from a
normal grand piano.[6]
The recording and mixing abilities of
the machine, coupled with its abilities
to imitate different instruments made it
possible for a single user to compose
and play an entire orchestral piece.
Kurzweil Music Systems was sold to
Korean musical instrument manufacturer
Young Chang in 1990. As with
Xerox, Kurzweil remained as a
consultant for several years.
Concurrent with Kurzweil Music
Systems, Kurzweil created the company
Kurzweil Applied Intelligence (KAI) to
develop computer
speech recognition systems for
commercial use. The first product, which
debuted in 1987, was the world's first
large-vocabulary
speech recognition program, allowing
human users to dictate to their
computers via microphone and then have
the device transcribe their speech into
written text. Later, the company
combined the speech recognition
technology with medical expert systems
to create the Kurzweil VoiceMed (today
called Clinical Reporter) line of
products, which allow doctors to write
medical reports by speaking instead of
writing. KAI exists today as
Nuance Communications.
Kurzweil started
Kurzweil Educational Systems in 1996
to develop new pattern-recognition-based
computer technologies to help people
with disabilities such as blindness,
dyslexia and
ADD in school. Products include the
Kurzweil 1000 text-to-speech converter
software program, which enables a
computer to read electronic and scanned
text aloud to blind or visually-impaired
users, and the Kurzweil 3000 program,
which is a multifaceted electronic
learning system that helps with reading,
writing, and
study skills.
During the 1990s Kurzweil founded
the Medical Learning Company.[7]
The company's products included an
interactive computer education program
for doctors and a computer-simulated
patient. Around the same time, Kurzweil
started KurzweilCyberArt.com—a website
featuring computer programs to assist
the creative art process. The site used
to offer free downloads of a program
called AARON—a visual art synthesizer
developed by Harold Cohen—and of
"Kurzweil's Cybernetic Poet", which
automatically creates poetry. During
this period he also started
KurzweilAI.net, a website devoted
towards showcasing news of scientific
developments, publicizing the ideas of
high-tech thinkers and critics alike,
and promoting futurist-related
discussion among the general population
through the Mind-X forum.
In 1999, Kurzweil created a
hedge fund called "FatKat"
(Financial Accelerating Transactions
from Kurzweil Adaptive Technologies)
http://www.fatkat.com, which began
trading in 2006. He has stated that the
ultimate aim is to improve the
performance of FatKat's A.I. investment
software program, enhancing its ability
to recognize patterns in "currency
fluctuations and stock-ownership
trends."[8]
He predicted in his 1999 book,
The Age of Spiritual Machines, that
computers will one day prove superior to
the best human financial minds at making
profitable investment decisions. In
2001, Canadian rock band
Our Lady Peace released an album,
titled
Spiritual Machines, based on
Kurzweil's book. Kurzweil's voice was
featured in the album, reading excerpts
from his book.
In June 2005, Kurzweil introduced
the
"Kurzweil-National Federation of the
Blind Reader" (K-NFB Reader)—a
pocket-sized device consisting of a
digital camera and computer unit. Like
the Kurzweil Reading Machine of almost
30 years before, the
K-NFB Reader is designed to aid
blind people by reading written text
aloud. The newer machine is portable and
scans text through digital camera
images, while the older machine is large
and scans text through flatbed scanning.
Kurzweil is currently making a
movie due for release in 2010 called The
Singularity is Near: A True Story About
the Future[9]
based, in part, on his 2005 book
The Singularity Is Near. Part
fiction, part non-fiction, he interviews
20 big thinkers like
Marvin Minsky, plus there is a
B-line narrative story that illustrates
some of the ideas, where a computer
avatar (Ramona)
saves the world from self-replicating
microscopic robots.
In addition to Kurzweil's movie,
an independent, feature-length
documentary was made about Kurzweil, his
life, and his ideas called
Transcendent Man. Filmmakers Barry
and Felicia Ptolemy followed Kurzweil,
documenting his global speaking tour.
Premiered in 2009 at the
Tribeca Film Festival,[9]
Transcendent Man documents Kurzweil's
quest to reveal mankind's ultimate
destiny and explores many of the ideas
found in his New York Times bestselling
book,
The Singularity is Near, including
his concept of exponential growth,
radical life expansion, and how we will
transcend our biology. The Ptolemys
documented Kurzweil's stated goal of
bringing back his late father using AI.
The film also features critics who argue
against Kurzweil's predictions.
Kurzweil said during a 2006
C-SPAN2 interview that he was working on
a new book that focused on the inner
workings of the human brain and how this
could be applied to building AI.
While being interviewed for a
February 2009 issue of Rolling Stone
magazine, Kurzweil expressed a desire to
construct a genetic copy of his late
father, Fredric Kurzweil, from DNA
within his grave site. This feat would
be achieved by deploying various
nanorobots to send samples of DNA back
from the grave, constructing a clone of
Fredric and retrieving memories and
recollections—from Ray's mind—of his
father.[10]
Kurzweil's first book,
The Age of Intelligent Machines, was
published in 1990. The nonfiction work
discusses the history of computer AI and
also makes forecasts regarding likely
future developments. Other experts in
the field of AI contribute heavily to
the work in the form of essays. The
Association of American Publishers'
awarded it the status of Most
Outstanding Computer Science Book of
1990.[11]
Next, Kurzweil published a book on
nutrition in 1993 called
The 10% Solution for a Healthy Life.
The book's main idea is that high levels
of fat intake are the cause of many
health disorders common in the U.S., and
thus that cutting fat consumption down
to 10% of the total calories consumed
would be optimal for most people.
In 1998, Kurzweil published
The Age of Spiritual Machines, which
focuses heavily on further elucidating
his theories regarding the future of
technology, which themselves stem from
his analysis of long-term trends in
biological and technological evolution.
Much focus goes into examining the
likely course of AI development, along
with the future of computer
architecture.
In February 2007, Ptolemaic
Productions acquired the rights to The
Singularity is Near, The Age of
Spiritual Machines and Fantastic Voyage
including the rights to Kurzweil's life
and ideas for the film
Transcendent Man. The feature length
documentary was directed by Barry
Ptolemy.
Kurzweil's newest book, Transcend:
Nine Steps to Living Well Forever,[14]
a follow-up on Fantastic Voyage, was
released on April 28, 2009.
The book he's currently working on
is called "How The Mind Works and How To
Build One".[15]
Kurzweil has been called the
successor and "rightful heir to
Thomas Edison", and was also
referred to by
Forbes as "the ultimate thinking
machine."[16][17][18]
Kurzweil has received these
awards, among others:
First place in the 1965
International Science Fair[4]
for inventing the classical music
synthesizing computer.
The 1990 "Engineer of the
Year" award from Design News.[21]
The 1994 Dickson Prize in
Science. One is awarded every year
by Carnegie Mellon University to
individuals who have "notably
advanced the field of science." Both
a medal and a $50,000 prize are
presented to winners.[22]
The 1998 "Inventor of the
Year" award from the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology.[23]
The 1999 National Medal of
Technology.[24]
This is the highest award the
President of the United States can
bestow upon individuals and groups
for pioneering new technologies, and
the President dispenses the award at
his discretion.[25]
Bill Clinton presented Kurzweil with
the National Medal of Technology
during a White House ceremony in
recognition of Kurzweil's
development of computer-based
technologies to help the disabled.
The 2000 Telluride Tech
Festival Award of Technology.[26]
Two other individuals also received
the same honor that year. The award
is presented yearly to people who
"exemplify the life, times and
standard of contribution of Tesla,
Westinghouse and Nunn."
The 2001 Lemelson-MIT Prize
for a lifetime of developing
technologies to help the disabled
and to enrich the arts.[27]
Only one is meted out each year to
highly successful, mid-career
inventors. A $500,000 award
accompanies the prize.[28]
Kurzweil was inducted into
the National Inventors Hall of Fame
in 2002 for inventing the Kurzweil
Reading Machine.[29]
The organization "honors the women
and men responsible for the great
technological advances that make
human, social and economic progress
possible."[30]
Fifteen other people were inducted
into the Hall of Fame the same year.[31]
The Arthur C. Clarke Lifetime
Achievement Award on April 20, 2009
for lifetime achievement as an
inventor and futurist in
computer-based technologies.[32]
Kurzweil claims to have
received seventeen honorary degrees
from as many institutions, although
independent articles that verify
such a claim do not exist:
After several years of closely
tracking trends in the computer and
machine industries, Kurzweil came to a
realization: the innovation rate of
computer technology was increasing not
linearly but rather exponentially. With
this, Kurzweil formed a method of
predicting the course of technological
development. As a computer scientist,
Kurzweil also understood that there was
no technical reason that this type of
performance growth could not
continue well into the 21st century.
Since growth in so many fields of
science and technology depends upon
computing power, such improvements
translate into improvements to human
knowledge and to non-computer sciences
like nanotechnology, biotechnology, and
materials science. Considering the
ongoing exponential growth in computer
capabilities, this means many new
technologies will become available long
before the majority of people—who
intuitively think linearly about
technological progress—expect. This core
idea is expressed by Kurzweil's "Law of
Accelerating Returns".
Kurzweil projects that between now
and 2050 medical advances will allow
people to radically extend their
lifespans while preserving and even
improving quality of life as they age.
The aging process could at first be
slowed, then halted, and then reversed
as newer and better medical technologies
became available. Kurzweil argues that
much of this will be due to advances in
medical nanotechnology, which will allow
microscopic machines to travel through
one's body and repair all types of
damage at the cellular level. Equally
consequential developments will occur
within the realm of computers as they
become increasingly powerful, numerous
and cheap between now and 2050. Kurzweil
predicts that a computer will pass the
Turing test by 2029, by
demonstrating to have a mind
indistinguishable from a human's in
terms of knowledge, emotion and
self-awareness. He predicts that the
first AI will be a computer simulation
of a human brain which will be created
thanks to hyperaccurate brainscanning
done by advanced medical nanomachines
inserted into a real human brain.
Kurzweil suggests that AIs will
inevitably become far smarter and more
powerful than unenhanced humans. He also
believes that AIs will exhibit moral
thinking and will respect humans as
their ancestors. According to his
predictions, the line between humans and
machines will blur as machines attain
human-level intelligence and humans
start upgrading themselves with
cybernetic implants. These implants will
greatly enhance human cognitive and
physical abilities, and allow direct
interface between humans and machines.
Kurzweil's standing as a leading
futurist and
Transhumanist has gained him
positions of prominence within pertinent
organizations:
In February 2009, Kurzweil, in
cooperation with
Google and the
NASA Ames Research Center, announced
the creation of
Singularity University. The
University's self-described mission is
to "assemble, educate and inspire a
cadre of leaders who strive to
understand and facilitate the
development of exponentially advancing
technologies and apply, focus and guide
these tools to address humanity’s grand
challenges".[41]
Using Kurzweil's Singularity concept as
a foundation, the University, whose
initial class of 40 Fellows began their
nine-week graduate program in June,
2009, provides students the skills and
tools to guide the process of the
Singularity "for the benefit of humanity
and its environment". Singularity U
encompasses cross-disciplinary studies
in ten different scientific and
future-oriented tracks, taught by
industry experts.
He predicts
nanobots will be used to maintain
the human body and to extend the human
lifespan.[3][43]
Kurzweil has stressed the extreme
potential dangers of nanotechnology,[3]
but argues that in practice, progress
cannot be stopped, and any attempt to do
so will retard the progress of defensive
and beneficial technologies more than
the malevolent ones, increasing the
danger. He says that the proper place of
regulation is to make sure progress
proceeds safely and quickly. He applies
this reasoning to biotechnology,
artificial intelligence, and technology
in general.[citation
needed]
In his controversial 2001 essay,
"The Law of Accelerating Returns",
Kurzweil proposes an extension of
Moore's law that forms the basis of
the concept of "Technological
Singularity".[44]
This section
may contain
original research. Please
improve it by
verifying the claims made
and adding
references. Statements
consisting only of original
research may be removed. More
details may be available on the
talk page.
(December 2007)
Arguably, Kurzweil gained a large
amount of credibility as a futurist from
his first book
The Age of Intelligent Machines. It
was written from 1986 to 1989 and
published in 1990. Building on
Ithiel de Sola Pool's "Technologies
of Freedom" (1983), Kurzweil forecast
the
demise of the Soviet Union due to
new technologies such as cellular phones
and fax machines disempowering
authoritarian governments by removing
state control over the flow of
information. In the book Kurzweil also
extrapolated preexisting trends in the
improvement of computer chess software
performance to predict correctly that
computers would beat the best human
players by 1998, and most likely in that
year. In fact, the event occurred in May
1997 when chess World Champion
Garry Kasparov was defeated by IBM's
Deep Blue computer in a
well-publicized chess tournament.
Perhaps most significantly, Kurzweil
foresaw the explosive growth in
worldwide Internet use that began in the
1990s. At the time of the publication of
The Age of Intelligent Machines,
there were only 2.6 million Internet
users in the world,[45]
and the medium was unreliable, difficult
to use, and deficient in content, making
Kurzweil's realization of its future
potential especially prescient, given
the technology's limits at that time. He
also stated that the Internet would
explode not only in the number of users
but in content as well, eventually
granting users access "to international
networks of libraries, data bases, and
information services". Additionally,
Kurzweil correctly foresaw that the
preferred mode of Internet access would
inevitably be through wireless systems,
and he was also correct to estimate that
the latter would become practical for
widespread use in the early 21st
century.
Kurzweil also accurately forecast
that, by the end of the 1990s, many
documents would exist solely in
computers and on the Internet, and that
they would commonly be embedded with
sounds, animations, and videos that
would inhibit their transfer to paper
format. Moreover, he foresaw that
cellular phones would grow in popularity
while shrinking in size for the
foreseeable future.
This article's
factual accuracy may be
compromised because of
out-of-date information. Please
help
improve the article by
updating it. There may be
additional information on the
talk page.
(June 2009)
In 1999, Kurzweil published a
second book titled
The Age of Spiritual Machines, which
goes into more depth explaining his
futurist ideas. The third and final
section of the book is devoted to
elucidating the specific course of
technological advancements Kurzweil
predicts the world will experience over
the next century. Titled "To Face the
Future", the section is divided into
four chapters respectively named "2009",
"2019", "2029", and "2099". In each
chapter, Kurzweil makes predictions
about what life and technology will be
like in that year.
While the veracity of Kurzweil's
predictions beyond 2009 cannot yet be
determined, many of the ideas of the
"2009" chapter have been scrutinized. To
begin, Kurzweil's claims that 2009 would
be a year of continued transition as
purely electronic computer memory
continued to replace
older rotating memory seems to be
disproved by continued rapid growth in
hard-disk capacity and unit sales,[46]
while high-capacity
flash drives have yet to catch on in
high-volume applications. Nonetheless,
solid state storage is the preferred
means of storage in low-volume
applications such as MP3 players,
handheld gaming systems, cellular phones
and digital cameras. Many companies
produce a 256 GB solid state drive for
use in laptops and desktops, but these
drives will cost over $600, making
storage on them cost roughly five times
the price of comparable hard-disk
storage. On the other hand, Kurzweil
correctly foresaw the growing ubiquity
of
wireless Internet access and
cordless computer peripherals. Perhaps
of more importance, Kurzweil presaged
the explosive growth in peer-to-peer
filesharing and the emergence of the
Internet as a major medium for commerce
and for accessing media such as movies,
television programs, newspaper and
magazine text, and music. He also
claimed that three-dimensional computer
chips would be in common use by 2009
(though older, "2-D" chips would still
predominate). But although IBM has
recently developed the necessary
chip-stacking technology and announced
plans to begin using three-dimensional
chips in its supercomputers and for
wireless communication applications,
chip stacking remains a low-volume
technology in 2009.[47]
[edit]
Solar Power and Grand
Challenges of the 21st Century
In 2010, Ray Kurzweil said in an
expert panel in the
National Academy of Engineering that
solar power will scale up to produce all
the energy needs of Earth's people in 20
years.
[50]
Kurzweil admits that he cared
little for his health until age 35, when
he was diagnosed with a
glucose intolerance, an early form
of
type II diabetes (a major risk
factor for heart disease). Kurzweil then
found a doctor that shares his
non-conventional beliefs to develop an
extreme regimen involving hundreds of
pills, chemical i.v. treatments, red
wine and various other methods to
attempt to live longer.
Kurzweil believes that the radical
technological advances made throughout
the 21st century will ultimately
culminate with the discovery of means to
reverse the aging process, cure any
disease, and repair presently
unrepairable injuries. Kurzweil has thus
focused himself towards following a
lifestyle intended to heighten his odds
of living to see the day when science
can make him immortal. Kurzweil calls
this the "Bridge to a Bridge to a
Bridge" strategy: The first bridge to
longer life is Kurzweil's regimen,
whereas the second- and third bridges
are based on advanced biotechnologies
and nanotechnologies, respectively, that
have not yet been invented. Kurzweil
believes they will allow for
progressively longer human lifespans to
the point of immortality and that
successfully implementing the first
"bridge" now allows one to reach the
second in the future, which then allows
one to reach the third.
Some elements of Kurzweil's
lifestyle are conventional. He exercises
frequently, does not eat to excess, and
does not abuse recreational drugs. Many
others, however, are controversial and
may be explained by his obsession with
living as long as possible. Kurzweil
ingests "250 supplements, eight to 10
glasses of
alkaline water and 10 cups of green
tea" every day and drinks several
glasses of red wine a week in an effort
to "reprogram" his biochemistry.[51]
Lately, he has cut down the number of
supplement pills to 150.[52]
Although not supported by science,[53]
Kurzweil and many others believe that
consuming large amounts of water is
necessary for flushing toxins out of the
body, and that alkaline water allows the
body to preserve important enzymes used
for neutralizing acidic metabolic
wastes. For this reason, Kurzweil abhors
soft drinks and coffee, which are both
acidic. Kurzweil believes that acidic
drinks drain detoxifying enzyme
reserves. Kurzweil has taken criticism
from nutritionists and scientists for
his advocacy of alkaline water's alleged
health benefits and other unconventional
beliefs, and he responded to this over
the Internet.[54]
Green tea and red wine contain
antioxidants that neutralize
free radicals. Kurzweil also
consumes red wine because it contains
the compound
resveratrol, which may help to fight
heart disease according to some
evidence, but it is also a potentiator
of breast carcinomas which may prove to
out-weigh any suggested benefit.[55]
Kurzweil also takes pills containing
high concentrations of the chemical
because the amount in red wine is
extremely inconsistent.
On weekends, Kurzweil also
undergoes intravenous transfusions of
chemical cocktails at a clinic which he
believes will reprogram his
biochemistry. He routinely measures the
chemical composition of his own bodily
fluids, undergoes preemptive medical
tests for many diseases and disorders,
and keeps detailed records about the
content of all the meals he eats. On
that last note, Kurzweil only eats
organic foods with low glycemic loads
and claims it has been years since he
last consumed anything containing sugar.
Kurzweil considers foods rich in sugars
and carbohydrates to be unhealthy since
they spike the levels of glucose and
insulin in the bloodstream, leading to
health problems in the long term. He
instead eats mainly vegetables, lean
meats, tofu, and low glycemic load
carbohydrates, and only uses extra
virgin olive oil for cooking. Kurzweil
also diligently eats foods rich with
Omega-3 fatty acids (including small,
wild salmon).
Moreover, Kurzweil makes it a
priority to get sufficient sleep for
physical and psychological health, and
he maintains low stress levels in part
by meditating and getting massages
weekly. He exercises daily with walking,
bike-riding and using workout machines,
but advises against high-impact forms of
exercise. Kurzweil claims that his
rigorous efforts have yielded positive
results, pointing to his vitamin-selling
business partner who claims his
"biological age" is more than a decade
younger than his chronological age. In
fact, Kurzweil claims that his personal
health regimen has actually slowed down
his rate of aging. He also advocates
maintaining a slightly below-average
body weight on the grounds that it
imparts some of the life-extension
benefits of full
caloric restriction.
Kurzweil joined the
Alcor Life Extension Foundation, a
cryonics company. In the event of
his death, Kurzweil's body will be
chemically preserved, frozen in liquid
nitrogen, and stored at an Alcor
facility in the hope that future medical
technology will be able to revive him.
Kurzweil and his current
"anti-aging" doctor, Terry Grossman,
MD., now have two websites promoting
their first[56]
and second book,[57]
and sells their "longevity products",
many of which can be found on medical
scam warning sites.[58]
Though Kurzweil's parents were
Jewish, they raised him as a
Unitarian and exposed him to many
different faiths during his youth.
Kurzweil gave a 2007 keynote speech to
the
United Church of Christ in
Hartford, Connecticut, alongside
Barack Obama, who was then a
Presidential candidate. In The
Singularity is Near he expresses a need
for a new religion based on the
principle of mutual respect between
sentient life forms, and on the
principle of respecting knowledge. This
religion would not have a leader,
instead being purely personal to
adherents.
Even beyond philosophical
arguments over whether a machine can
"think" (see
Philosophy of artificial intelligence),
Kurzweil's ideas have generated much
criticism within the scientific
community and in the media.
Mitch Kapor, the founder of
Lotus Development Corporation, has
called the notion of a technological
singularity "intelligent
design for the
IQ 140 people...This proposition
that we're heading to this point at
which everything is going to be just
unimaginably different—it's
fundamentally, in my view, driven by a
religious impulse. And all of the
frantic arm-waving can't obscure that
fact for me."[59]
VR pioneer
Jaron Lanier has been one of the
strongest critics of Kurzweil’s ideas,
describing them as “cybernetic totalism”
(totalitarianism), and has outlined his
views on the culture surrounding
Kurzweil’s predictions in an essay for
Edge.org entitled One Half of a
Manifesto.[60]
Pulitzer Prize winner
Douglas Hofstadter, author of
Gödel, Escher, Bach, has said of
Kurzweil's and
Hans Moravec's books: "It’s as if
you took a lot of very good food and
some dog excrement and blended it all up
so that you can't possibly figure out
what's good or bad. It's an intimate
mixture of rubbish and good ideas, and
it's very hard to disentangle the two,
because these are smart people; they're
not stupid."[61]
Bill Joy, cofounder of
Sun Microsystems, agrees with
Kurzweil's timeline of future progress,
but thinks that technologies such as AI,
nanotechnology and advanced
biotechnology will create a
dystopian world.[68]
Daniel Lyons, writing in
Newsweek, criticized Kurzweil for
some of his predictions which turned out
to be wrong; such as the economy
continuing to boom from the 1998
dot-com through 2009, a US company
having a
market capitalization of more than
$1 trillion, a supercomputer achieving
20
petaflops, speech recognition being
in widespread use and cars that would
drive themselves using sensors installed
in highways; all by 2009.[69]
To the charge that 20 petaflop
supercomputer was not produced in the
time he predicted, Kurzweil responded
that he considers
Google a giant supercomputer, and
that it is capable of 20 petaflops.[69]
Biologist
P.Z. Myers has criticized Kurzweil's
predictions as being based on "New
Age spiritualism" rather than
science and says that Kurzweil does not
understand basic biology.[70]
Myers also says that Kurzweil picks and
chooses events that appear to
demonstrate his claim of exponential
technological increase leading up to a
singularity, and ignores events that do
not.[71]
^
Miller, Robin (2004-10-20).
"Neal Stephenson Responds With
Wit and Humor".
Slashdot.
http://interviews.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=04/10/20/1518217.
Retrieved 2008-08-28. "My
thoughts are more in line with
those of Jaron Lanier, who
points out that while hardware
might be getting faster all the
time, software is shit (I am
paraphrasing his argument). And
without software to do something
useful with all that hardware,
the hardware's nothing more than
a really complicated space
heater."
^ ab
Lyons, Daniel (May 2009).
"I, Robot". Newsweek.
http://www.newsweek.com/id/197812/page/2.
Retrieved 2009-05-22.
"During the height of the dotcom
boom in 1998, Kurzweil predicted
that the economy would keep on
booming right through 2009 (and
on to 2019, for that matter) and
that one U.S. company (he didn't
say which) would have a market
capitalization of more than $1
trillion. Not even close.
Kurzweil also predict-ed that by
2009 a top supercomputer would
be capable of performing 20
quadrillion operations per
second (20 petaflops in computer
jargon), the same as the human
brain. In fact, the top
supercomputer just broke the
one-petaflop mark—though
Kurzweil says he considers all
of Google to be a giant
supercomputer and that it is,
indeed, capable of performing 20
petaflops. Kurzweil also
predicted that by now our cars
would be able to drive
themselves by communicating with
intelligent sensors embedded in
highways, and that speech
recognition would be in
widespread use."
^
Lyons, Daniel (May 2009).
"I, Robot". Newsweek.
http://www.newsweek.com/id/197812.
Retrieved 2009-07-24.
"Still, a lot of people think
Kurzweil is completely bonkers
and/or full of a certain messy
byproduct of ordinary biological
functions. They include P. Z.
Myers, a biologist at the
University of Minnesota, Morris,
who has used his blog to poke
fun at Kurzweil and other
armchair futurists who,
according to Myers, rely on junk
science and don't understand
basic biology. "I am completely
baffled by Kurzweil's
popularity, and in particular
the respect he gets in some
circles, since his claims simply
do not hold up to even casually
critical examination," writes
Myers. He says Kurzweil's
Singularity theories are closer
to a deluded religious movement
than they are to science. "It's
a New Age spiritualism—that's
all it is," Myers says. "Even
geeks want to find God
somewhere, and Kurzweil provides
it for them.""